波多野结衣办公室双飞_制服 丝袜 综合 日韩 欧美_网站永久看片免费_欧美一级片在线免费观看_免费视频91蜜桃_精产国品一区二区三区_97超碰免费在线观看_欧美做受喷浆在线观看_国产熟妇搡bbbb搡bbbb_麻豆精品国产传媒

Make me your Homepage
left corner left corner
China Daily Website

Recent credit shortage not a major concern

Updated: 2013-12-25 17:32
By Luo Jiexin and Xue He ( chinadaily.com.cn)
Soon after the United States announced a tapering of its bond-buying program – better known as quantitative easing, China's money markets experienced a new credit shortage.

The overnight Shibo, or Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate, rose to a multi-week peak of 4.515 percent on Dec 23, 100 basis points higher than before the US announces its tapering.

The rate ebbed only after the central bank conducted the first reverse-repurchase agreements in three weeks the following day to boost liquidity.

Many have cited this as a sign that China will enter a long period of liquidity squeeze, and suggest that authorities relax their monetary stance to prevent the economy from slowing down.

But is that actually the case?

It is true that the US move will change global money flows, as a tightening of monetary supplies in the US will shore up its interest rates and reverse the depreciating trend of the greenback.

US interest rates have climbed since the second half of the year, when Washington hinted of a pull back from the QE policy. Yields on 10-year government bonds have grown to 2.8 percent from 2 percent since the beginning of the year. The 15-year mortgage rate hit 3.5 percent from 2.5 percent in October.

Since money flows to markets with higher interest rates and stronger currencies, in this case the US market, emerging economies will witness capital outflows and depreciation of their currencies.

This rule will also apply to China, but it is going too far to suggest that the world's largest emerging market will face a severe money shortage. And it is premature to call on the central bank to shift to relax its monetary policy.

To understand this, it is needed to figure out what is happening in the Chinese money markets.

It is true that there is a money shortage, and this can be described as serious in some parts. But the cause of the shortage mostly lies in domestic factors, with the US announcement of tapering QE giving the market an excuse to temporarily hike borrowing costs.

In some cities of East China's Jiangsu and Zhejiang provinces, the money supply has been very tight since the second half of the year. The situation has worsened in recent days, with companies and homebuyers complaining about limited access to loans.

But a better examination of the markets will lead to the conclusion that the markets have money. The truth is that lenders, be they banks or private lenders, are reluctant to lend because of fears that their money will end up as bad loans.

We surveyed about 30 bank executives and private lenders in the two provinces this month. Most of them said that they still had money to lend. But the problem, they said, was that they cannot find good investment projects.

In Wuxi, Jiangsu province, a combination of factors such as the bankruptcy of what was the world's largest solar panel company Suntech Power, which has hugely exposed to local bank loans, weakened bank confidence.

In Wenzhou, Zhejiang province, defaults, bankruptcies and foreclosures are common as property prices slide. It is the only major city that witnessed a burst bubble-like reduction in its property market.

In these places the situation is somewhat like what it was in the days after the first round of the QE was launched: The markets were not necessarily short of money, but confidence had been weakened.

But on the national level, money shortage is a myth.

Considering China's lending growth rate, high saving ratio and huge turnovers in the stock market, the country has never been short of money in absolute terms.

The recent interbank rate hike was more a seasonal thing. As Chinese banks often recall money at the end of each quarter to polish up their balance sheets, the money markets are subject to seasonal fluctuations, which usually occur at the turn of the year, in June and in October.

Interbank rates in December are usually 100 basis points higher than those in November. So the recent Shibo rate hike is not a surprise and the margin dose not run beyond the normal range.

In this sense, it is too early to say China is experiencing an unusual money shortage, or to request the central bank to readjust its monetary stance.

The real problem of China's money market lies in its imbalanced structure, which hinders the country's relatively ample liquidity from flowing freely and efficiently.

About 60 percent, of China's loans are estimated to go to land and property markets directly or indirectly. The over-reliance created a situation in which the property market "hijacked" the money market.

With money parked in this single sector, real-economy industries have limited access to funds.

In addition, as property development requires time, the turnover rate of money is low and could result in a structural liquidity squeeze. This means that although the markets overall see a huge sum of money, it flows too slowly. When the market needs the money, the property market has absorbed too much funds and refuses to release them, hence causing a sharp increase in overall borrowing costs.

Indeed, the US tapering of the QE program offers a chance for China to kick this property-market addiction.

On one hand, as international speculative funds, a big slice of which are parked in China's property market, leaves China for the US, it is expected that the property price growth rate will slow down, forcing more capital to leave that industry.

On the other hand, the US pulling back from QE is a strong indication that its economic recovery will be solid, which will boost US demand for Chinese goods. This can be seen in an 11 percent jump in Chinese exports to the US in November. Continued US recovery may speed up the recovery in Chinese manu-facturing and trade sectors, helping China shed overcapacity and lure capital back to real-economy sectors from the property market.

Now what China needs to do is to make the money market stable amid the US move, help channel the capital to where it is really needed and prevent the manufacturing sector repeat the old growth model of simply building on cheap costs.

The authors are financial analysts in Shanghai.

 
 
...
波多野结衣办公室双飞_制服 丝袜 综合 日韩 欧美_网站永久看片免费_欧美一级片在线免费观看_免费视频91蜜桃_精产国品一区二区三区_97超碰免费在线观看_欧美做受喷浆在线观看_国产熟妇搡bbbb搡bbbb_麻豆精品国产传媒
另类专区欧美蜜桃臀第一页| 男人添女人荫蒂国产| 久久久久亚洲av无码a片| 欧美一区午夜视频在线观看| 欧美午夜视频网站| 亚洲欧洲日韩女同| 成人黄色a**站在线观看| 欧美日韩午夜视频| 欧美国产日韩精品免费观看| 国产精品一色哟哟哟| 黑人狂躁日本娇小| 国产精品天干天干在观线| 国产美女一区二区三区| 综合 欧美 亚洲日本| 欧美国产日韩精品免费观看| 国产91色综合久久免费分享| 青青青在线免费观看| 中文字幕一区二区三区四区 | 精品夜夜澡人妻无码av | 免费成人av在线播放| 可以直接看的无码av| 精品精品国产高清a毛片牛牛| 久久草av在线| 99国产精品无码| 国产精品入口麻豆九色| eeuss鲁一区二区三区| 在线观看日韩av先锋影音电影院| 亚洲与欧洲av电影| 精品无码在线视频| 久久久久国色av免费看影院| 成人午夜在线免费| 欧美色图天堂网| 日韩av一区二区在线影视| a天堂中文字幕| 欧美国产日产图区| 91网上在线视频| 欧美一区二区三区系列电影| 久久精品国产亚洲5555| 欧美风情第一页| 一区二区高清在线| 性久久久久久久久久| 国产色产综合色产在线视频 | 国产亚洲美州欧州综合国| 成人综合日日夜夜| 欧美色综合网站| 美女视频网站黄色亚洲| 最新一区二区三区| 亚洲制服丝袜在线| 日韩在线免费观看av| 中文字幕制服丝袜成人av| 久久久久久久久久久久国产精品| 欧美成人精品二区三区99精品| 国产成人综合在线| 欧美另类z0zxhd电影| 亚洲欧美日韩综合aⅴ视频| 日本性生活一级片| 国产午夜精品久久| 又色又爽又黄18网站| 久久久美女艺术照精彩视频福利播放| 成人激情图片网| 91精品国产综合久久精品图片| 国产乱码精品1区2区3区| 欧美亚洲国产一区二区三区| 久久成人久久爱| 欧美视频中文字幕| 国模娜娜一区二区三区| 欧美日韩综合在线| 国产一区二区三区在线观看免费视频| 欧美亚一区二区| 国产麻豆视频精品| 在线观看91av| av一二三不卡影片| 久久久久久亚洲综合| 佐佐木明希电影| 欧美国产日韩a欧美在线观看| 亚洲天堂资源在线| 亚洲免费在线电影| 奇米网一区二区| 日韩精品电影一区亚洲| 色噜噜久久综合| 国产一区欧美一区| 宅男在线国产精品| 成人激情小说乱人伦| 亚洲精品一区二区三区福利| 337p日本欧洲亚洲大胆张筱雨 | 国精品无码人妻一区二区三区| 最新国产成人在线观看| 国产探花视频在线播放| 婷婷中文字幕一区三区| 在线看一区二区| 国产成人av一区二区三区在线观看| 欧美一区二区三区小说| 91麻豆精品在线观看| 中文av字幕一区| 变态另类ts人妖一区二区| 五月激情综合色| 欧美三级电影在线看| 波波电影院一区二区三区| 久久精品亚洲国产奇米99 | 亚洲另类在线视频| 国产精品视频看看| 精品一区二区影视| 日韩亚洲欧美高清| 91丨porny丨对白| 一区二区三区免费在线观看| 农村黄色一级片| 国产成人综合网| 久久久99精品免费观看不卡| 尤物视频最新网址| 免费在线成人网| 欧美一区二区三区免费观看视频| 国产成人精品一区二区三区在线观看 | 37p粉嫩大胆色噜噜噜| 午夜不卡在线视频| 欧美日本免费一区二区三区| 亚洲精品一区二区18漫画| 亚洲精品免费在线| 欧美在线观看一区二区| 91麻豆123| 一区二区三区精品视频在线| 欧美中文字幕一二三区视频| 99精品热视频| 亚洲精品五月天| 欧美性猛片aaaaaaa做受| 91一区二区在线观看| 亚洲精品国产高清久久伦理二区| 日韩精品一区在线观看| 美女网站在线免费欧美精品| 91精品欧美综合在线观看最新| 亚洲成a人无码| 亚洲综合999| 91麻豆精品国产91久久久久久| 亚洲av无码专区在线播放中文| 亚洲午夜精品久久久久久久久| 欧美男女性生活在线直播观看| 挪威xxxx性hd极品| 日韩一区精品视频| 欧美成人女星排行榜| 免费在线观看污| 国产一区二区三区综合 | 女同性恋一区二区三区| 天天综合日日夜夜精品| 在线电影院国产精品| 魔女鞋交玉足榨精调教| 精品在线播放免费| 久久久久久一二三区| 蜜臀av午夜精品久久| 不卡高清视频专区| 亚洲一区二区三区美女| 欧美一区二区三区免费视频| 国产av自拍一区| 国产不卡在线视频| 亚洲精品第1页| 欧美一区二区三区免费视频| 国产高清一区二区三区四区| 国产乱一区二区| 亚洲精品国产无天堂网2021| 51精品视频一区二区三区| 日本xxxxxxxxx18| 成人国产精品免费观看动漫| 亚洲愉拍自拍另类高清精品| 欧美电影免费观看高清完整版在线 | 一级片黄色录像| 成人美女视频在线看| 亚洲一区在线观看免费| 日韩欧美亚洲国产精品字幕久久久| 亚洲精品国产一区黑色丝袜| 国产成人av一区二区三区在线| 一区二区三区在线播| 欧美变态凌虐bdsm| 久久中文免费视频| 中国xxxx性xxxx产国| 狠狠色丁香久久婷婷综| 亚洲欧美一区二区三区孕妇| 欧美一区二区大片| 亚洲综合图片一区| 久久人妻少妇嫩草av蜜桃| 精品无码三级在线观看视频| 亚洲三级视频在线观看| 日韩欧美一区电影| 欧美激情图片小说| 亚洲av网址在线| 丁香亚洲综合激情啪啪综合| 性做久久久久久久久| 欧美国产激情二区三区| 制服丝袜亚洲色图| 日韩激情小视频| 亚洲黄色免费在线观看| 成人h动漫精品一区二区| 日韩成人免费在线| 最新久久zyz资源站| 精品精品国产高清a毛片牛牛| 日本韩国欧美一区| 韩国三级hd中文字幕| 日本泡妞xxxx免费视频软件| 国产九色sp调教91| 天天操天天综合网| 亚洲视频 欧洲视频| 久久一夜天堂av一区二区三区| 欧美日韩一级二级三级|